Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.036300 0.039219 0.042283 0.045744 0.049550 0.053613 0.058287
2025-03-09 0.031119 0.035167 0.039650 0.045004 0.051246 0.058326 0.067003
2025-03-16 0.027507 0.032128 0.037454 0.044085 0.052172 0.061783 0.074171
2025-03-23 0.025053 0.030046 0.035988 0.043644 0.053334 0.065312 0.081425
2025-03-30 0.023116 0.028345 0.034739 0.043220 0.054303 0.068481 0.088288
2025-04-06 0.021317 0.026636 0.033291 0.042341 0.054503 0.070533 0.093692
2025-04-13 0.020337 0.025871 0.032950 0.042812 0.056427 0.074911 0.102518
2025-04-20 0.019300 0.024944 0.032306 0.042787 0.057614 0.078290 0.110131
2025-04-27 0.018590 0.024394 0.032108 0.043322 0.059567 0.082825 0.119747
2025-05-04 0.017692 0.023526 0.031410 0.043084 0.060356 0.085676 0.126994
2025-05-11 0.016909 0.022767 0.030808 0.042924 0.061214 0.088643 0.134610
2025-05-18 0.016132 0.021971 0.030099 0.042548 0.061697 0.091030 0.141439
2025-05-25 0.015500 0.021355 0.029627 0.042504 0.062695 0.094311 0.150084
2025-06-01 0.014749 0.020531 0.028805 0.041878 0.062733 0.096046 0.156236
2025-06-08 0.014001 0.019674 0.027889 0.041046 0.062377 0.097087 0.161226
2025-06-15 0.013423 0.019041 0.027274 0.040644 0.062674 0.099211 0.168308
2025-06-22 0.012890 0.018451 0.026692 0.040255 0.062957 0.101305 0.175488
2025-06-29 0.012290 0.017733 0.025881 0.039448 0.062477 0.102024 0.180101
2025-07-06 0.012026 0.017517 0.025835 0.039880 0.064126 0.106600 0.192562
2025-07-13 0.011673 0.017146 0.025527 0.039858 0.064975 0.109776 0.202531
2025-07-20 0.011455 0.016976 0.025529 0.040349 0.066752 0.114770 0.216670
2025-07-27 0.011095 0.016568 0.025128 0.040130 0.067230 0.117348 0.225994
2025-08-03 0.010771 0.016204 0.024780 0.039983 0.067824 0.120177 0.236116